* Geopolitical Risk rears its head again
* Retail Sales buoyed by online sales
* Small Optimism is low, low, low…
The Timber Log – 2/20/24
* Inflation – the trend is your friend…
* Small Caps look poised for recovery…
* Biden and Trump – neither may be a good choice…
The Timber Log – 11/17/23
* The inflation bubble bursts…for good..
* Phillips Curve advocates confused…
* Payroll adds head back to the future…
* Wage gains are slowing…
The Timber Log – 11/1/23
* The consumer is ok…but feeling meh…
* Yields on the rise…too far, too fast?
* Med device stocks go on a diet…
* Mike Johnson takes the House reins…
The Timber Log – 9/19/23
* Fed meeting to be uneventful…
* As PCE should continue to fall
* Energy shares in the sun…
* OPEC+ holds the key
The Timber Log – 8/23/23
* Bond yields head higher…
* Corporate refinancing risk is low…
* Can’t say the same for Treasury debt…
* Atlanta Fed GDPNow…a closer look…
The Timber Log – 7/28/23
* Fed keeps the big stick at hand…
* Small caps seem poised…again
* Margins need to hang in for eps gains…
* Bidens election hopes resting with the Fed…
The Timber Log – 6/30/23
* Large Cap Tech rules in 1H23…
* High yield is attractive…
* Shadow bankers continue to gain share
* The Fed lost touch with the Volcker rule…
The Timber Log – 5/26/23
* SPX 500 in tight trading channel…
* Retail results are erratic…XRT vs. XLY
* Debt limit deal thoughts from Victor
* Japan emerging after two lost decades…?
The Timber Log – 5/5/23
* Powell does it again…10 and counting…
* Regional banks under pressure…
* JPM’s Dimon on the bank crisis
* Small caps can’t catch a break
The Timber Log – 4/18/23
* Fed balance sheet composition…
* CPI report encouraging…
* What we look for from earnings season…
* Dollar decline – is it structural?
The Timber Log – 3/6/23
* February puts a dent in the doves…
* Global LNG markets will remain tight
* The housing market won’t crash this time…
The Timber Log – 2/17/23
* Recession fears abound…
* Market levitates to start 2023…
* Fed should be more data dependent
The Timber Log – 2/1/23
* Here comes the Fed again…
* January rebound much needed…
* The debt ceiling boogey-man…
* Natural gas…the rise and fall…
The Timber Log – 1/17/23
* Is a soft landing realistic?
* Small caps rebound after poor year…
* Market rotation as inflation recedes
* International stocks – time to shine?